Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.000693 0.000787 0.000887 0.001000 0.001124 0.001256 0.001407
2025-09-21 0.000538 0.000668 0.000814 0.000991 0.001197 0.001428 0.001707
2025-09-28 0.000448 0.000591 0.000760 0.000973 0.001231 0.001532 0.001906
2025-10-05 0.000400 0.000557 0.000749 0.001000 0.001313 0.001688 0.002166
2025-10-12 0.000361 0.000526 0.000736 0.001018 0.001381 0.001826 0.002406
2025-10-19 0.000317 0.000484 0.000705 0.001009 0.001411 0.001914 0.002584
2025-10-26 0.000279 0.000446 0.000673 0.000995 0.001431 0.001988 0.002743
2025-11-02 0.000255 0.000424 0.000661 0.001005 0.001481 0.002100 0.002952
2025-11-09 0.000231 0.000400 0.000644 0.001006 0.001517 0.002193 0.003138
2025-11-16 0.000201 0.000364 0.000606 0.000976 0.001507 0.002224 0.003239
2025-11-23 0.000176 0.000333 0.000573 0.000948 0.001499 0.002254 0.003341
2025-11-30 0.000160 0.000314 0.000557 0.000945 0.001525 0.002331 0.003504
2025-12-07 0.000145 0.000298 0.000544 0.000945 0.001555 0.002416 0.003683
2025-12-14 0.000131 0.000279 0.000525 0.000935 0.001570 0.002478 0.003833
2025-12-21 0.000116 0.000259 0.000503 0.000919 0.001574 0.002524 0.003958
2025-12-28 0.000111 0.000255 0.000507 0.000944 0.001641 0.002663 0.004218
2026-01-04 0.000104 0.000249 0.000507 0.000962 0.001697 0.002786 0.004459
2026-01-11 0.000094 0.000234 0.000491 0.000953 0.001711 0.002848 0.004611
2026-01-18 0.000085 0.000220 0.000474 0.000940 0.001717 0.002896 0.004744
2026-01-25 0.000079 0.000213 0.000470 0.000949 0.001759 0.003001 0.004961
2026-02-01 0.000073 0.000204 0.000461 0.000950 0.001787 0.003083 0.005146
2026-02-08 0.000064 0.000187 0.000436 0.000921 0.001764 0.003086 0.005212
2026-02-15 0.000056 0.000172 0.000414 0.000895 0.001744 0.003093 0.005284